MIAMI, USA — Satellite images and surface observations indicate that a broad area of low pressure has formed over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for development, and this system could become a tropical depression within the next few days while it drifts northwestward to northward across the northwestern Caribbean and adjacent land areas and into the Gulf of Mexico by the weekend.
According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, regardless of development, this system will likely produce heavy rains over portions of Central America during the next few days. The chance of formation of a tropical cyclone during the next five days is estimated to be medium (60 percent).
Meanwhile, a trough of low pressure located over Cuba and near the northwestern Bahamas is producing a large area of disorganized showers and gusty winds. Although significant development of this system is not expected due to strong upper-level winds, this system will likely produce heavy rain and gusty winds over portions of The Bahamas during the next couple of days.