Remnants of Gaston could bring heavy showers

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ROAD TOWN, BVI — At 10:00 am on Monday, the centre of what was Tropical Storm Gaston was located near latitude 17.4 north longitude 56.5 west, or about 350 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Gaston was moving toward the west near 15 mph. Maximum sustained winds were near 35mph, making Gaston a remnant low or a low pressure system. Gaston is expected to continue tracking west to west-northwest for the next few days.

The forecast for the British Virgin Islands indicates that squalls will begin to affect the area Tuesday afternoon, with winds from the north-northeast between 20–30 mph with higher gusts. The point of closest approach of the centre to the BVI would be on Wednesday morning at 3:20 am. Scattered rainfall amounts can be expected in the range of 2-3 inches from Tuesday afternoon to midday Thursday. Tides could be 1-2 feet above normal on the eastern and southern shores of the islands.

Gaston continues to struggle with easterly wind shear and dry air. Most global models predict Gaston will dissipate over the next 2-3 days, while the hurricane intensity models predict some strengthening. Experts think that Gaston will not change much over the next 2-3 days, then will slowly strengthen later this week as upper-level wind shear decreases. Gaston could regain tropical storm status late Thursday or early Friday.

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