An area of disturbed weather in the western Caribbean has a 60 percent chance of developing into a tropical cyclone later this week. (National Hurricane Center)
By Caribbean News Now contributor
MIAMI, USA -- Surface pressures are slowly falling over the southwestern Caribbean Sea, and a broad low pressure system is expected to form in this area during the next day or two.
According to the National Hurricane Center in Miami, environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for slow development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression could form by late this week or over the weekend while the low drifts northward or northeastward, which could bring rain to the Cayman Islands, Jamaica and parts of Cuba.
The chances of a tropical cyclone forming during the next five days are estimated to be 60 percent.
If the system strengthens into a tropical storm, with a a closed circulation and sustained winds of 39 mph, the next name on the list is Otto.
The Atlantic hurricane season ends on November 30 and tropical storms in November, while infrequent are not unheard of. The last tropical storm to form entirely in November in the Caribbean was Tropical Storm Gamma in 2005 at the end of an extraordinarily active season with a record 28 tropical or subtropical storms, including hurricanes Katrina and Wilma.