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Tropical systems continue to strengthen
Published on June 19, 2017 Email To Friend    Print Version

Tropical Weather Outlook (NHC graphic)

By Caribbean News Now contributor

MIAMI, USA -- Two tropical systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami continued to strengthen on Sunday, with a corresponding increase in the likelihood of cyclone formation.

Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in association with a tropical wave located about 1,000 miles east-southeast of the southern Windward Islands.  Some development of this system is possible during the next couple of days before environmental conditions become less favourable for tropical cyclone formation.  

This system is forecast to move to the west-northwest at near 20 mph toward the Windward Islands and northeastern South America during the next two days, and interests in these areas should monitor its progress.  An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system on Monday, if necessary.

Formation chance of a tropical cyclone through five days is estimated to be medium (50 percent).

Meanwhile, a broad area of low pressure located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Gradual development of this system is expected while it moved slowly northwestward across the Yucatan Peninsula on Sunday and over the southern or central Gulf of Mexico on Monday and Tuesday, where a tropical or subtropical cyclone is likely to form.

Regardless of development, heavy rains are expected over portions of Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula, Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and western Cuba during the next several days.  An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft was scheduled to investigate this system later on Sunday, if necessary.

Formation chance of a tropical cyclone through five days is estimated to be high (90 percent).

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