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Cristobal to pass Bermuda as forecasters track two more disturbances
Published on August 27, 2014 Email To Friend    Print Version

Hurricane Cristobal three-day forecast track. NHC/NOAA graphic

By Caribbean News Now contributor

MIAMI, USA -- Tropical cyclone Cristobal strengthened into a hurricane on Monday night as it picked up speed heading away from The Bahamas heading towards Bermuda. Meanwhile, forecasters are tracking two more disturbances in the tropical Atlantic heading towards the Caribbean.

A tropical storm watch is in effect for Bermuda and, in addition to ongoing rainfall, Cristobal is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches over the island, with tropical storm conditions possible by Wednesday afternoon.

According to the National Hurricane Center in Miami, at 5:00 pm EDT on Tuesday, the centre of hurricane Cristobal was located about 460 miles west-southwest of Bermuda, moving toward the north near 15 mph. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph, with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Cristobal has a large wind field. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles from the centre and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 240 miles.

A northward to north-northeastward motion is expected to continue Tuesday night and Wednesday. A turn toward the northeast is forecast Wednesday night, followed by a faster northeastward motion on Thursday. On the forecast track, the centre of Cristobal is expected to pass northwest of Bermuda on Wednesday and Wednesday night.

Cristobal is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches over the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern Bahamas.

Five-day Tropical Weather Outlook. NHC/NOAA graphic

In the meantime, a tropical wave located about 850 miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are not expected to be favourable for significant development during the next couple of days, but could become slightly more conducive by the end of the week or this weekend while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 15 mph.

A second tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa late this week. Conditions appear to be favourable for some development thereafter while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern Atlantic.
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